Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#136
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#147
Pace77.5#25
Improvement+1.5#111

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#132
Improvement+4.3#17

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#137
Improvement-2.8#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 46   @ New Mexico L 54-63 15%     0 - 1 +4.4 +5.7 +7.3
  Nov 16, 2010 15   @ Syracuse L 55-66 7%     0 - 2 +7.8 +8.6 +9.8
  Nov 22, 2010 126   @ Mississippi St. L 76-82 36%     0 - 3 -0.2 +2.8 +2.7
  Nov 26, 2010 241   Albany W 84-82 2OT 82%     1 - 3 -5.7 -3.8 -3.9
  Nov 27, 2010 237   Bowling Green W 71-62 82%     2 - 3 +1.5 -4.1 -3.0
  Nov 28, 2010 295   Niagara W 96-77 90%     3 - 3 +7.2 -5.6 -5.5
  Dec 01, 2010 120   Akron L 69-77 60%     3 - 4 -8.4 -0.4 -0.4
  Dec 04, 2010 113   Wright St. W 78-69 58%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +9.2 +0.4 +0.2
  Dec 08, 2010 168   @ Western Michigan L 69-71 47%     4 - 5 +1.0 +1.4 +1.5
  Dec 11, 2010 281   @ Eastern Michigan W 68-65 OT 73%     5 - 5 -1.3 -2.7 -1.5
  Dec 18, 2010 268   @ Central Michigan W 75-49 70%     6 - 5 +22.5 -1.5 -0.8
  Dec 22, 2010 196   @ Bradley L 65-73 53%     6 - 6 -6.7 +0.5 +0.4
  Dec 30, 2010 159   Green Bay W 79-56 68%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +20.3 -1.1 -0.6
  Jan 01, 2011 131   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 81-84 OT 61%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -3.9 -0.6 -0.4
  Jan 06, 2011 148   @ Loyola Chicago W 83-71 41%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +16.5 +2.6 +2.3
  Jan 08, 2011 249   @ Illinois-Chicago W 72-69 65%     9 - 7 4 - 1 +1.0 -0.8 -1.0
  Jan 14, 2011 51   Butler L 64-87 34%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -16.5 +2.7 +2.7
  Jan 16, 2011 96   Valparaiso L 68-78 52%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -8.5 +0.6 +0.4
  Jan 20, 2011 71   @ Cleveland St. L 69-81 21%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -1.5 +5.1 +4.9
  Jan 22, 2011 251   @ Youngstown St. W 73-69 67%     10 - 10 5 - 4 +1.7 -1.6 -0.6
  Jan 28, 2011 131   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-72 37%     10 - 11 5 - 5 +0.5 +2.3 +2.9
  Jan 30, 2011 159   @ Green Bay L 74-85 44%     10 - 12 5 - 6 -7.4 +2.0 +1.1
  Feb 03, 2011 249   Illinois-Chicago W 77-63 84%     11 - 12 6 - 6 +5.7 -4.0 -3.7
  Feb 05, 2011 148   Loyola Chicago W 81-71 65%     12 - 12 7 - 6 +8.1 -0.9 -0.5
  Feb 07, 2011 71   Cleveland St. W 81-78 42%     13 - 12 8 - 6 +7.2 +2.3 +2.0
  Feb 10, 2011 96   @ Valparaiso L 74-82 29%     13 - 13 8 - 7 -0.1 +3.8 +3.7
  Feb 12, 2011 51   @ Butler L 51-66 16%     13 - 14 8 - 8 -2.2 +5.7 +6.4
  Feb 16, 2011 251   Youngstown St. W 91-79 84%     14 - 14 9 - 8 +3.3 -4.0 -4.2
  Feb 19, 2011 205   @ Drake L 76-84 57%     14 - 15 -7.6 +0.3 -0.3
  Feb 25, 2011 113   @ Wright St. W 77-67 33%     15 - 15 10 - 8 +16.5 +3.8 +3.2
  Mar 01, 2011 148   Loyola Chicago W 90-69 65%     16 - 15 +19.1 -0.6 -0.5
  Mar 04, 2011 96   Valparaiso L 78-88 40%     16 - 16 -5.3 +2.4 +1.9
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%